‘A Critical Scenario’: Hostilities on Iran Squeezes India's Cooking-Gas Stock.

People queue up to buy cooking gas cylinders for domestic use in an Indian city
People queue up to buy cooking gas cylinders for home cooking in Chennai.

The repercussions of a military engagement being fought nearly 1,864 miles away are now impacting India's households.

As military actions on Iran impede energy transports through the key maritime chokepoint, stocks of kitchen fuel are dwindling across India, forcing restaurants to cut menus, reduce operating times and in some cases shut down altogether.

Social media is filled with video clips showing crowds outside fuel suppliers across Indian cities and towns as worries over fuel supplies grow. Businesses appear the hardest struck: the sharpest squeeze is in food service establishments.

"The state of affairs is alarming. Kitchen fuel simply is unavailable," says a official of the a major restaurant body.

Most eateries run either on industrial fuel canisters or direct gas lines, and the scarcities are now being felt across the country. "Numerous restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the southern states. People are turning to traditional burners and induction stoves to keep food preparation going."

Localized Effects

In a financial hub, accounts say up to a significant portion of hospitality businesses are already operating at reduced capacity as business fuel stocks tighten. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some eateries say their cylinder inventory have depleted with scarce alternatives. "Coffee is the sole item we can prepare and nothing else - it is extremely difficult. Businesses are going to suffer," says a restaurant owner in Bengaluru.

A closed restaurant shutter in an Indian city
A restaurant in Chennai which has ceased operations due to a lack of kitchen fuel.

Restaurant operators are rushing to adjust. "Menus are being curtailed, some are skipping midday meals and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are changing as supplies wax and wane. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a changing landscape."

Retailers observe a spike in sales of electric cookers, with some saying they are facing stockouts.

Official Position

Yet, the authorities states there is sufficient stock.

India has more than 30 crore household consumers and officials say stocks are being redirected to households as tensions from the Middle East conflict ripple through energy markets.

Roughly six out of ten of India's LPG is imported, and about the vast majority of those consignments pass through the key maritime route, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now effectively closed by the hostilities.

The relevant department says that it directed refineries to boost LPG output for home needs, lifting domestic production by about a quarter. Non-domestic supply is being allocated for critical services such as medical and academic centers, while distribution will be "fair and transparent".

"Some panic booking and stockpiling has been caused by false reports. The regular refill period for household cylinders remains about two-and-a-half days," says a senior official.

Spreading Anxiety

Now the concern is spreading beyond kitchens. On digital platforms, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of motorbikes outside a gas outlet. "Anxiety is palpable," the caption reads.

An oil tanker at sea representing imports
India imports up to most of the petroleum it consumes, leaving it significantly susceptible to interruptions in global supplies.

According to data from industry analysts, concerns about India's broader petroleum stocks may be exaggerated.

India imports almost all of its oil. Around a significant portion of its petroleum shipments - about 2.5-2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from regional suppliers.

Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, the deficit could be partly compensated for by higher imports of competitively priced oil from Russia, according to a industry commentator.

Based on shipping data and credible market sources, additional Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, narrowing India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.

"Around 25-30 million Russian oil barrels are currently on the water in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.

Kitchen Fuel: The Primary Concern

The primary concern is LPG, analysts say.

India consumes roughly a million barrels a day, but produces only 40-45% domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the chokepoint.

Refineries can adjust processes to extract a bit more LPG, but even a limited rise would only lift domestic supply to about under half of demand, leaving the country significantly leaning on imports.

In short: "Petroleum shortage concerns can be partially mitigated through alternative sourcing. Processed petroleum stocks remains fairly adequate. Kitchen fuel stocks is the critical issue to track in the coming weeks."

What may be intensifying the panic on the ground is not just limited availability but patchy deliveries - and the common threat of hoarding.

An industry representative states opportunistic profiteering.

"Suppliers are misusing the situation - selling fuel on the black market and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being stockpiled and sold to the highest bidder."

For now, India's petroleum stocks may be buffered by international market dynamics. But in homes across the country, the more urgent issue is simple: how to get the next gas canister.

Patricia Randall
Patricia Randall

A seasoned journalist with a passion for uncovering stories that matter in the UK and beyond.